An AFSAAP member is following the South Sudan Crisis from Uganda. It appears that the conflict is seeded in the post John Garang arrangements in which power was reorganised in response to Garang’s absence. It is suggested that the reorganisation process was ethnically influenced in which sections of the South Sudanese felt left out. For instance, the Dinka have been long accused of dominating the state in which corruption has taken root and reached dangerous levels. State governors have accused the central state for not remitting funding meant to ensure service delivery. Tension has always existed especially in the army, but this particular conflict is an extension of internal SPLA infighting which resulted into the recent suspension of the entire cabinet by President Kiir. Information out of Juba indicates that the attempted coup was ochestrated by forces loyal to the former Vice President including some governors. And that as of yesterday, the rebels had control of most of the oil producing region which also provides almost 90% of South Sudan state revenue.
The conflict has taken on a regional dimension in which the Uganda People’s Defense Forces have become involved in support of president Kiir. Overrall, the conflict might turn into a civil war because it appears that the rebel forces have not expressed any willingness to stop the rebellion and its leadership has still not articulated its grievances making room for a peaceful settlement difficult at the moment. It is likely that the African Union is planning a possible response: http://www.peaceau.org/
AFSAAP members with further updates and information can contribute to this summary by emailing email@example.com or firstname.lastname@example.org
Last updated – December 26th 2013